The Supreme Court is currently reviewing the legitimacy of widespread emergency tariffs imposed by the Trump administration in 2025. This decision will determine whether the International Emergency Economic Powers Act continues to grant the executive branch authority over global trade.
“This is extremely important for us in dairy because Mexico is number one — number one for the cheese market — and then Canada is actually our number two market,” says Cassandra Kuball, vice president at Torrey Advisory Group. “After that, it’s China. These are three big dogs that will all have major implications in the trade space.”
Torrey Advisory Group is a Washington, D.C.-based government relations firm working with Edge Dairy Farmer Cooperative. Kuball explains that while many experts initially expected a ruling against the administration, the court’s continued silence suggests a tightening debate among the justices. She observes that as more decision rounds pass without a verdict, the final outcome becomes increasingly difficult to predict.
“I don’t think you’re going to see a real shift in the market as we know it as farmers… but it is going to shift on how we see where the growth opportunities are,” Kuball continues. “I think it’s more for the longevity and how it’s going to go on the political relationship side that could be more vulnerable.”
Beyond domestic law, the ruling will set the tone for the upcoming USMCA review and future negotiations with America’s closest neighbors. Kuball says stakeholders remain concerned about whether these partners will continue to negotiate or pivot toward significant trade retaliation.
